As the sixth game unfolds in Tampa, the Leafs find themselves as slight underdogs in the Ontario sports betting landscape.

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At the beginning of their best-of-seven series against Tampa Bay, Toronto was positioned as slight favorites with odds around -120 in most betting markets.Ontario sports betting sites.

After six exciting matches, those initial odds seem to hold true, as both teams have exchanged victories, and the Maple Leafs currently lead the series 3-2 in what has been an intense and competitive face-off. Presently, Toronto is favored at -350 to clinch the series, needing just one more win.DraftKings Sportsbook Ontario Securing a victory in Game 6 on Thursday presents a significant challenge, as Tampa Bay, the two-time champions, are known for rarely losing consecutive games and will have home advantage in this critical contest. Given this context,

the Lightning have been designated as the favorites for this matchup.Ontario sports betting apps The Maple Leafs are slight underdogs at +115 for this game. While Toronto has succeeded in winning in Tampa Bay, they have yet to clinch back-to-back victories in this series and are undoubtedly keen to wrap things up rather than face the pressure of a decisive Game 7.

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Game 5, May 10 in Toronto: Leafs 4, Lightning 3 (Maple Leafs lead the series 3-2)
Game 7: Should it be necessary, it will take place on Saturday at a time to be determined in Toronto.

Leafs-Lightning Series Schedule

  • Game 1, May 2 in Toronto: Leafs 5, Lightning 0
  • Game 2, May 4 in Toronto: Lightning 5, Leafs 3
  • Game 3, May 6 in Tampa: Leafs 5, Lightning 2
  • Game 4, May 8 in Tampa: Lightning 7, Leafs 3
  • Provides access to international betting markets, has low wagering demands, and allows for odds to be displayed in various formats.
  • Game 6: Thursday, 7:30 p.m. in Tampa.
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BetRivers CA Sportsbook
Game 5 showcased one of the most remarkable comeback victories for the Leafs in recent history, as they rallied from an early deficit of two goals to take control with a 3-2 lead. Even after Tampa Bay leveled the score again, Hart Trophy contender Auston Matthews secured the lead for the Leafs, netting a goal from a rebound off a Mitch Marner shot, with just over six minutes left to play.
Both players excelled offensively in this 4-3 win, as anticipated, and they were supported by an impressive display from the previously underperforming second line, with John Tavares and William Nylander contributing a total of five points. Most critically, Toronto demonstrated their ability to mount a comeback against a championship-caliber team like Tampa Bay, a significant boost to their confidence as the series progresses.

Comeback Kids

Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy of the Lightning continued to show vulnerabilities, as he has throughout this series, now boasting a 3.65 goals-against average, which contrasts sharply with his performances in previous playoffs. He has been susceptible even in win situations, indicating that the Matthews-Marner-Michael Bunting line may very well lead the charge again. Furthermore, the second line has now emerged as a legitimate threat that the Lightning’s defense must take seriously.

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*Odds are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook Ontario.
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Current Stanley Cup Odds

Colorado Avalanche +200
Florida Panthers +500
Toronto Maple Leafs +600
Calgary Flames +650
Carolina Hurricanes +750
Pittsburgh Penguins +1700
St. Louis Blues +1900
Tampa Bay Lightning +2200
The Leafs have yet to find their groove on the power play, despite leading the league during the regular season. However, with Nylander and Tavares now contributing goals, the entire unit is heating up. Tampa Bay has consistently been one of the most penalized teams, and this trend has continued into the series.

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The Lightning have found it challenging to avoid penalties against the Leafs’ formidable power play. Toronto's power play can only remain dormant for so long, and the goal scored in Game 5 to initiate their comeback could serve as a vital momentum shift.
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Power Plays will be Telling

Despite various patterns and narratives suggesting a Tampa Bay victory—given the sequence of wins exchanged between the teams, Tampa Bay's history of not losing two in a row, and the fact that they’re at home—Toronto displayed in the previous match that they have evolved from the fragile squad seen in earlier seasons.

With Jack Campbell matching Vasilevskiy in goal and key players scoring, the Leafs hold a promising opportunity to capitalize as an underdog.

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Cecil Peters
Cecil Peters
Senior Betting Analyst

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