Bills vs Dolphins Betting Lines & Forecast: Who Will Prevail in Week 3?

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Bills vs. Dolphins Betting Odds: Which Team Has the Upper Hand?

In their 2024 season, the Bills dominated the Dolphins entirely. This week, they'll face them again on Thursday Night Football during Week 3, and Ontario Bets is fully equipped to deliver all the insights for this fierce AFC East contest.

Key Takeaways:

  • On Thursday, September 18th, 2025, the Bills are set to welcome the Dolphins for a Week 3 matchup during Thursday Night Football.
  • The Bills are currently projected to defeat the Dolphins with a spread of 8.5 points.

Bills vs. Dolphins Betting Lines: Who Holds the Favor?

As of now, the Bills have an 8.5-point advantage heading into their Thursday Night showdown with the Dolphins in Week 3. This means they must secure a victory by at least 9 points to meet the spread.

Team Bills Dolphins
Spread -8.5 (-110) +8.5 (-110)
Total 48.5 (O) 48.5 (U)
Moneyline -380 +300

What The Spread Tells Us

The betting line indicates that this matchup is expected to be a one-sided affair. After a commanding victory over the Dolphins last season on Thursday Night Football in Miami, this game will take place in Orchard Park, New York. The spread suggests that the Bills are expected to win by nine points, which is essential for covering the line.

What The Moneyline Tells Us

The moneyline reveals that the Bills are substantial favorites in this matchup. Ultimately, the Bills are among the elite teams in the AFC, while the Dolphins find themselves in the middle tier. Additionally, playing at Highmark Stadium gives the Bills a significant advantage.

How The Bills Win vs. The Dolphins

The Bills can secure a win against the Dolphins if Josh Allen leverages both his passing and rushing abilities effectively. Furthermore, James Cook presents a flexible threat, capable of both running and receiving plays. Last season, the defense successfully intercepted Tua Tagovailoa three times during their lopsided victory, and replicating this performance will be crucial.

How The Dolphins Win vs. The Bills

For the Dolphins to emerge victorious against the Bills, a successful ground game is paramount. They managed to achieve this in a narrow defeat to the Bills last season, but failed miserably in their subsequent heavy loss. Tagovailoa must also ensure ball security to avoid taking unnecessary hits or making reckless passes.

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Bills Dolphins Prop Bets

Several players from both the Bills and Dolphins can enhance your prop betting strategies.

Bills Dolphins Prop Bets

Player Prop Bet Bet
Josh Allen TBD TBD
James Cook TBD TBD
Tua Tagovailoa TBD TBD
De'Vone Achane TBD TBD
Tyreek Hill TBD TBD

Allen stands out as the key player in this matchup due to his remarkable two-dimensional skill set. Additionally, Cook can create opportunities from the backfield. Tagovailoa’s strong arm enables him to connect well with Tyreek Hill, while Achane can advance the chains on the ground and ease the pressure on Tagovailoa.

Bills Dolphins Team Props

Team Prop Bet Odds
Bills Bills to score first. TBD
Bills Bills to score first and lose TBD
Dolphins Dolphins to score first TBD
Dolphins Dolphins to score first and lose TBD

The Bills have achieved victory over the Dolphins in their last six encounters, primarily by scoring the first points. In five of those six games, the Bills clinched the initial score. Notably, the Dolphins have not triumphed over the Bills when they scored first since 2018.

Bills vs dolphins odds

History of Bills vs. Dolphins

The highly anticipated Week 3NFL The upcoming competition between the Buffalo Bills and the Miami Dolphins is anticipated to be thrilling. Given the long-standing rivalry between the teams, this is hardly a surprise.

Bills Record Vs. Dolphins

The Dolphins hold a slight edge in their historical matchups with a record of 62-60-1, but the Bills have won the last six meetings and boast a remarkable 13-1 record against the Dolphins over their previous 14 contests.

All-Time Best Bills-Dolphins Games

The rivalry between the Dolphins and Bills stretches back many years, with the most significant showdowns occurring in playoff contexts rather than regular season encounters, where they’ve seen each other multiple times. The Bills have a 4-1 playoff record against the Dolphins.

Game 1: January 17, 1993 - Bills 29, Dolphins 10

The Buffalo Bills experienced a mix of dominance and heartbreak in the early 1990s, making it to four consecutive Super Bowls but falling short in each attempt. Jim Kelly, their legendary quarterback, frequently matched up against Dan Marino. In one of those encounters, while Kelly's passing yards were nearly 100 less, the Bills effectively ran for over 150 yards compared to the Dolphins' 33, earning a place in their third straight Super Bowl.

Game 2: January 15, 2023 - Bills 34, Dolphins 31

Looking forward from the early 90s, the Bills entered as heavy favorites in this matchup as the Dolphins were starting Skylar Thompson. What was anticipated to be a blowout turned into a closely fought Wild Card matchup. Buffalo led 14-0 at the end of the first quarter, and despite seeming dominance, Allen's two interceptions allowed the Dolphins back in the game. Ultimately, the Bills prevailed but it remained a tight playoff match.

Game 3: January 12, 1991 - Bills 44, Dolphins 34

This marked a significant turning point for Buffalo. While they had made the playoffs in the preceding two seasons, this was their inaugural Super Bowl appearance, featuring another iconic face-off between Marino and Kelly, with both quarterbacks achieving three touchdowns and surpassing 300 yards. Two Buffalo receivers each delivered performances over 120 yards, and despite being down 27-10, the Dolphins fought back to narrow it to 30-27 in the fourth quarter. While they didn’t win, the game was a key moment in the AFC East rivalry.

👇 Discover the anticipated rosters, weather predictions, and venue details for this Week 1 matchup.


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Bills Vs Dolphins FAQ

On Thursday, September 18, 2025, the Bills will welcome the Dolphins at Highmark Stadium for a Week 3 showdown. They are also scheduled to clash again on Sunday, November 9, 2025, at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida.

The Bills secured their first victory over the Dolphins, dominating them with a score of 58-24 on September 18, 1966, at War Memorial Stadium in Buffalo, New York. They continued their winning streak against the Dolphins in their following match in Miami.

Currently, the Dolphins lead the all-time series with a record of 62-60-1. However, the Bills excel in the playoff matchups, leading 4-1, including a thrilling 34-31 victory in the 2022 Divisional Round and a 1990 AFC Divisional Round win that catalyzed the Jim Kelly era.

The Bills are favored to win by 8.5 points over the Dolphins, with a moneyline set at -380. The over-under stands at 48.5 points, as oddsmakers expect more scoring opportunities in this matchup featuring both Josh Allen and Tua Tagovailoa.

Bets can be placed on the Bills-Dolphins Week 3 game through any of the authorized sportsbooks based in Ontario. Some of the top platforms include FanDuel, DraftKings Sportsbook, BetMGM, Caesars Sportsbook, and PointsBet Canada Sportsbook.

Author

Brandon Justice

Brandon Justice boasts nearly a decade of expertise in sports analysis and betting, focusing mainly on college football, college basketball, NFL, and MLB. His mission revolves around delivering in-depth analyses on sports betting trends and data, alongside a rich background working with The Action Network and Rivals.com.

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