Note from the Editor: This article was refreshed on June 11, 2025
Following their recent exit in the second round at the hands of the Florida Panthers last month, the Toronto Maple Leafs are now grappling with a crucial offseason dilemma: Will they be able to retain forward Mitch Marner?
As part of ourOntario sports betting In response to this situation, deereplanet.com has created unique odds that evaluate where Marner might potentially sign for the upcoming season and beyond.
Team |
Odds |
Percent Chance |
Vegas Golden Knights |
+450 |
18.2% |
Anaheim Ducks |
+475 |
17.4% |
Carolina Hurricanes |
+800 |
11.1% |
Toronto Maple Leafs |
+800 |
11.1% |
Los Angeles Kings |
+1000 |
9.1% |
Chicago Blackhawks |
+1100 |
8.3% |
Utah Mammoth |
+1250 |
7.4% |
Florida Panthers |
+1250 |
7.4% |
The Field |
+900 |
10.0% |
These odds were specifically crafted for deereplanet.com, where ourOntario sportsbook apps reviews will keep you informed once you register with an operator.
The Toronto Maple Leafs chose Marner as the fourth overall pick in the 2015 NHL Draft, and he has dedicated his entire nine-year career to the team. Throughout this time, he has scored 221 goals and amassed 741 points, earning All-Star honors three times. The right wing player has recorded seven seasons with 20 or more goals, including 27 goals this season, ranking him fifth on the team.
Marner is also known for his exceptional playmaking abilities, as demonstrated by his impressive 75 assists during the regular season of 2024-25, which allowed him to lead the Leafs with a total of 102 points, placing him fifth in the NHL.
Fans in Ontario are eagerly anticipating the upcoming season, even as this year's Stanley Cup finals are currently being contested. Check out ourToronto Maple Leafs Stanley Cup page to explore how various operators are setting their pricing for next year's odds.
The Leafs face significant salary cap challenges as they enter the offseason. Addressing Marner's situation should be a priority in Toronto’s offseason agenda. The forward has had a salary cap impact of $10.903 million USD each of the past six seasons. His current contract is set to expire this summer, and at 28 years old, he is eligible to become an unrestricted free agent.
The anticipated salary cap for the NHL in the 2025-26 season is estimated at $95.5 million. Current data from the Spotrac website indicates that the Leafs have already allocated $37.2 million to eight forwards for next season, which notably excludes Marner and John Tavares, who is also approaching free agency.
Our latest odds suggest that the Vegas Golden Knights are narrowly favored to sign Marner, with an 18.2% likelihood. This equates to +450 odds forNHL betting if such a bet were available. Following them are the Anaheim Ducks at +475 odds (representing a 17.4% implied chance), who are projected to have about $35 million in cap space for the upcoming season, according to Spotrac.
The odds of the Leafs retaining Marner stand at +800 on our platform, tied for third place alongside the Carolina Hurricanes. Toronto currently has approximately $21 million in cap space before reaching their limit, but this figure doesn't account for either Tavares or Marner – nor any other free agents from the current Leafs roster. It seems unlikely that Toronto can keep both of their “Core Four” forwards and execute additional significant transactions this offseason.
Current Stanley Cup odds atCaesars Sportsbook Ontario We have the Leafs at +2600 odds for next season, quite low compared to the two teams in this year’s finals, the Florida Panthers (+700) and the Edmonton Oilers (+800). The Hurricanes also hold +800 odds to win the championship for the 2025-26 season.
USA Today photo by John E. Sokolowski
Author
Jim Tomlin is an accomplished editor and writer with a focus on sports, gaming, and the intersection of these fields. With over 30 years in journalism, his contributions can be found in well-known publications such as the Tampa Bay Times, FanRag, Saturday Down South, and Saturday Tradition.
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